Predictions HQ
Methodology
Model variables
There is no forecasting model on this site and this section is not describing one. What the engine computes is a documentation score over five published weights, and the variables it reads are the licence block, the payment entries, the welcome terms, the entry minimum and whatever a record carries about complaints.
The reason the section is headed this way and answered like this is worth keeping visible: the plan for this site assumed a predictions engine, and a predictions engine needs settled results to be worth anything. Until there are results, describing variables and coefficients would be describing a thing that does not exist.
Confidence calculation
Likewise, no confidence figure is published anywhere on this site, because a confidence number is a claim about a distribution and there is no sample here to draw one from.
What stands in its place is coverage, and it is stated in plain terms wherever it matters: how many of the six records answer a given axis at all. On payments it is three of six. On the welcome offer it is four of six. Those two sentences carry more information than a percentage would.
Limitations
The largest is Kenya, which is a third of this site's remit and has no rows. The attempt to read the three candidate brands at source on 25 August 2026 did not connect at all: the operator sites and the regulator's own site were unreachable from this desk, while unrelated Kenyan hosts answered normally in the same run. So the failure sits at the far end rather than here, and until it clears, Kenya carries a country card and no table.
The second is that every payout figure on the site is wording rather than timing. Nobody here has timed a withdrawal on any of these three markets. The third is that no licence has been checked against a register: the whole licence column is quotation.
Complete record
Every figure on this site traces to a source recorded against the record it came from, and the class of that source is recorded with it. Where something was read on the operator's own page it says so; where it was computed here it says so; and no page carries a number whose origin is unrecorded.
One figure is genuinely computed rather than quoted, and its limits belong here too. SportyBet Ghana's margin was taken from that operator's own fixtures feed across 491 matches on 9 August 2026. Betway Ghana's was taken from two fixtures on one weekend from a single aggregator, because Betway's own site served no odds to this desk, and that is a much weaker figure standing in the same column.